Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 11.002261 12.312786 13.785055 15.575385 17.712533 20.206208 23.372409
2025-04-27 9.481111 11.190665 13.267173 16.023642 19.663756 24.423876 31.331154
2025-05-04 8.215131 10.007219 12.289169 15.490207 20.008196 26.402869 36.647003
2025-05-11 7.627454 9.550670 12.104062 15.870675 21.531459 30.192901 45.573152
2025-05-18 6.988206 8.929895 11.589546 15.667031 22.106340 32.608703 52.991832
2025-05-25 6.475845 8.418770 11.152071 15.485643 22.639340 35.015578 61.194345
2025-06-01 6.081637 8.030166 10.838822 15.432871 23.342227 37.838895 71.332844
2025-06-08 5.660902 7.564347 10.360087 15.046295 23.390612 39.428811 79.407661
2025-06-15 5.381050 7.281220 10.128273 15.027558 24.078595 42.428824 92.433930
2025-06-22 4.998129 6.815691 9.572840 14.396370 23.519373 42.671430 98.118943
2025-06-29 4.642925 6.370561 9.017352 13.709903 22.757046 42.307042 101.913009
2025-07-06 4.369531 6.035516 8.615328 13.256044 22.394357 42.791130 108.803179
2025-07-13 4.442956 6.252332 9.139952 14.554603 25.896031 53.811813 163.359051
2025-07-20 4.341536 6.184364 9.184357 14.968694 27.611510 61.002926 213.559151
2025-07-27 4.098799 5.872418 8.787251 14.483521 27.196830 61.990011 234.468131
2025-08-03 4.009683 5.805913 8.809928 14.829398 28.805751 69.792053 310.463412
2025-08-10 3.846758 5.607119 8.583745 14.644318 29.081309 73.417895 367.569497
2025-08-17 3.699427 5.426501 8.377670 14.479387 29.381885 77.305147 439.450005
2025-08-24 3.579341 5.285611 8.234019 14.431388 29.984575 82.639243 547.980390
2025-08-31 3.426635 5.081580 7.961667 14.079590 29.705706 84.436776 624.909229
2025-09-07 3.328000 4.966088 7.846804 14.062529 30.362857 90.512858 804.318682
2025-09-14 3.164523 4.731129 7.494979 13.487352 29.331377 88.770874 839.243310
2025-09-21 3.003335 4.494800 7.130693 12.860727 28.079470 85.696367 839.147583